The rumor that is about to vanish has been around for decades, and it gets the story mostly wrong. The program is not going broke in the sense of paying zero. It has a funding gap, which is a different and far more manageable problem.

Here is the shape of it. Social Security is largely funded by the payroll taxes of people working today. For years it also built up a trust fund reserve, and that reserve is projected to run low sometime in the next decade. If Congress does nothing at all, the incoming payroll taxes would still cover a large majority of scheduled benefits, something in the ballpark of three quarters. That is a benefit cut, not a shutoff, and it is the kind of gap lawmakers have closed before with a mix of small changes.

For planning, the takeaway is not panic and it is not blind faith. It is to build a retirement plan that leans on Social Security without betting everything on today's formula staying frozen forever. Knowing the real risk lets you size it properly instead of guessing.

Nick GeorgeHosted byNick GeorgeCFP®, ChFC®, CLU®, IWA™FounderView bio →

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